In the following analysis of "The DOA," we've identified four distinct time frames, each characterized by different user behavior. These time frames are (1) the Creation Period, (2) the Operational Period, (3) the Post-Hack Period, and (4) the Recovery Period. The start of each period is signaled by an uptick in activity as can be seen by the green- and orange-shaded areas. This analysis documents notable aspects of each time period and proposes possible explanations for each.
It is important to note, before we begin, that this analysis is a "work-in-progress." There is much missing information. Three prominent bits of missing information are the 'ether' balance of the contract, the inclusion of 'internal transactions,' and an analysis of 'in-error' transactions. The primary reason for the lack of these data from our analysis is the word 'quick' in our company's name. This information is available, but to the best of our knowledge, it's not available 'quickly.' This is what we're working on. More about this issue is on the FAQ page.
On with the analysis. Below we discuss briefly each of the four distinct time periods we've identified. Access to further detail for each period is provided by the menu-bar to the left or by following the links below.
Here we present supporting data for the above chart.
|Ord||Functional Group||Function Name||Total||Creation||Operational||Post-Hack||Recovery|
"The DAO" was an amazing ride. The initial excitement of an un-managed piece of software raising $150,000,000 US dollars in 30 days--even given the fact that there was no-one in charge--was exhilarating. And then, on the morning of the hack, when we all woke up to find that the price of ether had plummeted (along with my naive belief that it was possible to write an immutable, un-hackable piece of software) was epic. Further, the way the community marshaled itself and carried out the hard fork was inspiring, that inspiration only to be dashed soon thereafter by the zombie-like resurrection of ETC after the community incorrectly assumed that it would die a quiet death. It's been an amazing ride.
On a personal note, I've enjoyed tracking the data generated by "The DAO". It is this desire that gave me an impetus to develop the tools I needed to complete my task (i.e. this website and the bale tier software). I hope you enjoyed reading our analysis. If we can do anything for you--for example create a monitoring website similar to this one to monitor or analyze your smart contract--please contact us. We'll be happy to speak with you.
Notes: The effect of the hack on the price of Ether is very obvious, as is--a few days after the hard fork--the effect of Ether Classic not dying a peaceful death. All transactions represented on these charts exclude "in-error" transactions unless otherwise noted. "Functional groups" are further explained below. TODO: (1) Display the total accumulated ether (and US dollar value) and DAO tokens on all appropriate charts. (2) Include 'internal transactions' in this reporting.